USDA crop progress: The finish line approaches

Four out of five corn acres now in the ground, with nearly two-thirds of soybeans planted.

Ben Potter, Senior editor

May 17, 2021

3 Min Read
tractor tilling ground at dusk with dust flying.
jenjen42/iStock/Getty Images

Corn and soybean planting progress continued to see some good forward momentum this past week, per USDA’s latest crop progress report, out Monday afternoon and covering the week through May 16. But analysts were expecting to see more corn acres in the ground by now. Soybean progress was more in line with trade expectations, meantime.

Corn planting progress reached 80% through Sunday. That’s up from the prior week’s mark of 67% but four points lower than the average trade guess of 84%. Still, 2021 progress is two points ahead of 2020’s pace of 78% and well above the prior five-year average of 68%. Each of the top 18 production states have at least made it to the halfway mark, except for Ohio (39%).

Corn emergence jumped from 20% a week ago up to 41% through Sunday. That’s slightly ahead of last year’s pace of 40% and moderately faster than the prior five-year average of 35%. Variance among the top 18 production states is still significant – North Dakota is only at 10% so far, with North Carolina all the way to 86%.

Related: Fast planting boosts crop production potential.

Soybean plantings are progressing slightly faster than expected, meantime. Progress reached 61% through Sunday, versus the average trade guess of 60% and the prior week’s mark of 42%. Planting pace has jumped well ahead of 2020’s pace of 51% and far beyond the prior five-year average of 37%. Minnesota (88%) is now the furthest along among the top 18 production states.

Crop emergence moved from 10% a week ago up to 20% through Sunday. That’s also a faster pace than 2020’s 16% and the prior five-year average of 12%. State-by-state progress ranges between North Dakota’s 1% on up to Mississippi’s 61%.

Spring wheat plantings are now at 85% through Sunday, up from 70% a week ago but one point below the average trade guess of 86%. Last year’s pace was just 57%, with the prior five-year average at 71% through the first two weeks of May. Forty-seven percent of the crop is emerged, versus the prior five-year average of 36%.

For winter wheat, more than half (53%) of the 2020/21 crop is now headed, up from 38% a week ago. That’s a bit below 2020’s pace of 54% and the prior five-year average of 58%.

Quality ratings dipped a point lower, with 48% of the crop now rated in good-to-excellent condition. Analysts were expecting to see a one-point improvement, in contrast. Another 33% is rated fair (unchanged from last week), with the remaining 19% rated poor or very poor (up a point from last week).

Click here to read the latest USDA crop progress report for additional information on cotton, rice, peanuts, sorghum, sunflowers and more.

Follow along with the season:

  • USDA crop progress: Corn plantings only at 4% 

  • USDA crop progress: Corn plantings slightly below expectations

  • USDA crop progress: Corn plantings reach 17% completion

  • USDA crop progress: Corn plantings race ahead

Be sure to share how your crops are doing at https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdf8KQ1LWJqpWZya30gFeIseS7_4ceD1Fpcaj38cejI_WO1xA/viewform and read the latest Feedback from the Field.

About the Author

Ben Potter

Senior editor, Farm Futures

Senior Editor Ben Potter brings two decades of professional agricultural communications and journalism experience to Farm Futures. He began working in the industry in the highly specific world of southern row crop production. Since that time, he has expanded his knowledge to cover a broad range of topics relevant to agriculture, including agronomy, machinery, technology, business, marketing, politics and weather. He has won several writing awards from the American Agricultural Editors Association, most recently on two features about drones and farmers who operate distilleries as a side business. Ben is a graduate of the University of Missouri School of Journalism.

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